The View From The Far East

There is an expression in Mandarin that translates to English as “Hearing it a hundred times is not as good as seeing it with your own eyes once.” I couldn’t agree more. I read reports on Asia all the time, but understanding the region requires time on the ground.

I spent the last two weeks of May catching up with partners and clients in Malaysia, Singapore, China, and Hong Kong. Following are some reflections on those conversations.

  • Clients in Asia were not surprised that tariffs would be used as leverage by the United States. President Trump had promised as much during last year’s election campaign.

    What did surprise them has been the rapidly shifting tariff landscape. New levies are proposed, and then deferred days later. Exceptions are belatedly granted for more essential items. Threats escalate, and then negotiations bring things back from the brink. Accords are typically temporary, creating a string of expiries that keep stakeholders on edge. Courts are beginning to weigh in on the legality of trade measures.

    US Effective tarrif rate