Are You Buying What They Selling? We’re Not—Here’s Why.

Fixed income benchmarks have two fundamental flaws. First, their exposures prioritize the needs of borrowers rather than investors. Second, they tend to expose investors to the biggest risks at the worst times.

Cui bono?

Cui bono (pronounced “kwee boh-no” is a Latin phrase that roughly translates to “who benefits?” Unlike its more famous and charitable cousin—pro bono—cui bono is often used to suggest that the entity that gains from a situation is likely to be the one causing it. So, who causes (and likely benefits) from fixed income benchmark construction?

Unfortunately, the answer is usually not investors— at least not those who take a benchmark-centric approach to fixed income investing.

To see why this is the case, compare fixed income benchmark construction to its equity counterpart. Standard equity benchmarks are based on market capitalization. Importantly, these valuations are driven by the market’s assessment of factors such as sales growth, operating margins, cash flows, and managerial competency. As these views change, so do their market values, resulting in more successful companies becoming larger shares of their indexes. A second-order effect is these benchmarks can become harder to beat when the stronger companies grow and the weaker ones fail. One more consideration is the relative alignment between management and shareholders. A lot of academic research has gone into principal-agent problems that shareholders have with their corporate managers. However, most managers still want their companies to grow and be successful rather than shrink and fail. The ubiquity of stock-based compensation schemes over the past several decades has also helped reinforce that alignment.

Compare this situation with that of the fixed income markets. Which entities are the biggest components of fixed income benchmarks? Too often it’s not the best issuers. Instead, it tends to be companies, countries, and sectors that borrow the most; needing to borrow a lot is rarely a sign of financial health, whether that’s a company borrowing to plug a net loss or a government that makes the easy choice to issue debt to fund a deficit rather than make the difficult choice of raising taxes or cutting spending.

Where does that leave investors who track closely to these benchmarks? The answer too often is it leaves them exposed—exposed to the weaker borrowers, exposed to the weaker sectors, exposed to the needs of debtors rather than investors.