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Market Thoughts for June 2021
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for May. It was a mixed bag for the markets, with the Dow up more than 2 percent, the S&P 500 up slightly, and the Nasdaq down. On the medical front, case growth and death rates declined, and more than 4 of 10 people are now fully vaccinated. With fading medical risks, the economy continued to improve. Layoffs are trending down, and consumer confidence remains close to pre-pandemic levels. So, could we be back to normal by the summer? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for May 2021
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for April. It was a good month for the markets. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq gained more than 5 percent, while the Dow was up almost 3 percent. These returns were driven, in part, by the medical news, with new case counts, hospitalizations, and deaths all down. While the medical risks declined, reopening accelerated. Job growth rose, and weekly layoffs dropped. Consumer confidence and spending also improved. Will these positive trends persist? Stay tuned for more. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
1Q 2021 Review and Market Outlook
AAM CEO Scott Colyer and Chief Investment Strategist Matt Lloyd recap Q1 2021 and share their market outlook for the coming months. See their insights and expectations
To view all of AAM’s Market Commentary videos, please visit our video gallery page. Here, you can subscribe to our video channel, to receive AAM’s newest videos straight to your inbox. Video topics include market updates & insights, media appearances, & firm updates.
Market Thoughts for April 2021
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for March. We saw a strong end to a healthy first quarter for stock markets. Both the Dow and S&P 500 here in the U.S. showed gains, while developed markets abroad showed lower but still positive returns. We also had good news on the economic front. Hiring rebounded, layoffs dropped, and consumer confidence rose to post-pandemic highs. But with more work to do to contain the medical risks, when will the economy return to full health? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Advisors Asset Management: 40 Years Strong
AAM has been providing carefully sourced, vetted, and supported solutions for over 40 years. We offer access to a diverse range of investment solutions to meet today’s challenges. See why we are a trusted resource for financial professionals.
To view all of AAM’s Market Commentary videos, please visit our video gallery page. Here, you can subscribe to our video channel, to receive AAM’s newest videos straight to your inbox. Video topics include market updates & insights, media appearances, & firm updates.
Mike Rodenbaugh Real Estate
Buying or selling a home is a complicated, expensive undertaking that presents an opportunity for you to deepen your client relationships. Advisor Mike Rodenbaugh of Boardwalk Financial Strategies shares his perspective on helping smooth a real estate transaction, providing important counsel on affordability, cash flow, retirement impact, mortgage financing and estate planning. For example, he says, “down payment sourcing creativity” may be needed for a client buying a new home before selling a current home.
John Cole Scott Interval Funds
As you hunt for yield with less exposure to market volatility, you may want to consider Interval Funds, an unlisted type of closed-end fund. John Cole Scott, chair of the nonprofit Active Investment Company Alliance, says Interval Funds have been around a long time but are now gaining “traction.” While they do not trade on an exchange, they are readily available from fund families and offer a range of asset classes including alternative-style investments. AICA is hosting a free online Interval Fund “boot camp” on March 31.
Market Thoughts for March 2021
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for February. Markets climbed last month, although they faced some turbulence on a spike in interest rates. While markets were choppy, the medical news improved. New cases and hospitalizations dropped, and vaccinations more than doubled. On the economic front, unemployment remains high, but companies are hiring again. Plus, stimulus payments hit bank accounts, and consumer confidence is moving up. Could a return to normal be in sight? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for Feb 2021
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for January. Most developed markets were down slightly, including the Dow and S&P 500 in the U.S., as well as developed markets abroad. Despite the weak January numbers, markets remain near all-time highs. On the economic front, layoffs were high and retail spending dropped. But with federal stimulus payments, consumer confidence has begun to recover, boosting higher-frequency spending data. So, will the recovery remain resilient? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for Jan 2021
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for December. It was a great month for the markets, with gains across the board. Unfortunately, we saw rising economic damage. Job growth dropped, and layoffs rose. Consumer confidence and spending also declined as the medical risks drove governmental shutdowns. Still, business confidence and spending were solid, and December's federal stimulus bill should help revive consumer demand. So, could we be back on the road to normal in 2021? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for December 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for November. It was a very strong month for the stock markets, with most up by double digits. With good news on vaccines and the resolution of the presidential election, investors gained confidence. But medical risks remain, and the economic risks rose. Layoffs increased, and consumer confidence declined. Business confidence remained high but has pulled back. So, is there reason to believe that things will improve in the months ahead? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at https:www.blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for November 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for October. The markets started the month strong but rolled over on rising medical risks. Fortunately, the impact was cushioned by better economic news. Layoffs dropped, and consumer confidence held at higher levels. As a result, spending held up better than expected, and the housing market has boomed. Business confidence and investment have also been healthy. With the election just around the corner, could we face more risks ahead? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at https:www.blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Not All Tax Strategies for Investors Are Created Equal
What do tax strategies and headphones have in common? Listen in with Rob Kuharic, Director of Tax Managed Solutions at Russell Investments, as he breaks down the different approaches to help an investor maximize their after-tax returns. Hear how a total tax-managed investing approach can help. Learn more.
Market Thoughts for October 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for September. It was a tough month for the markets. They began September with a drop and ended the month with everything down, but by much less than feared. The economic news was better, with improved data from the labor market and consumer confidence bouncing back. Business confidence and investment were also healthy. Overall, the recovery looks to be on a solid foundation. But could the upcoming election pose a real risk? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for September 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for August. It was a very good month for the markets. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 reached new highs, and investors continued to move back into the markets. We also saw infection numbers decline, and the economic recovery started to regain strength. Consumer confidence looks to have bottomed, and wage growth has ticked up again, supporting spending growth. We’re in a much better place than we were a month ago, but are there risks ahead? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
CEF Yields and More
Closed-end funds are known for leveraged income generation, but yields can come from a range of sources, strategies and products. John Cole Scott, founder of the Active Investment Company Alliance and chief investment officer of CEF Advisors, offers his perspective on the current CEF landscape and challenges presented by the coronavirus, not to mention the presidential election and recession recovery. Scott also shares his excitement about the AICA online CEF conference on Aug. 13, featuring the “best and brightest” minds in the CEF industry.
Market Thoughts for August 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for July. Overall, it was a good month for the markets. As July began, we saw strong job gains, declining layoff numbers, and rising consumer confidence and spending. Markets rose on this good news. But then infection counts went up, leading to state-level closures. This shift hit hiring and confidence, slowing the recovery. As a result, several market indices declined from their midmonth levels. Should we expect more volatility ahead? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Muni Closed-End Funds Update With Dave Lamb
Municipal Bond Closed-end Funds, like most investments, have felt the impact of the coronavirus-stricken economy. But Dave Lamb of Nuveen says Muni CEFs have rebounded well, especially those with higher quality credits. Despite potential concern of a recession-driven shortfall of taxes supporting munis, Lamb is optimistic about the future. He says it’s an “opportune time to invest in closed-end funds.” He expects discounts to continue to narrow and notes the low cost of leverage has helped lead many funds to increase distributions.
Tales from the Front: BDC Exposure
In recent years Business Development Companies may have caught your eye and your client’s attention as well. The growing BDC market offers broad access to potentially high-yielding private equity, if an alternative PE investment fits your portfolio needs.
2020 Midyear Outlook
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, gives his 2020 midyear outlook. The rest of 2020 will be about the virus. We’re seeing localized outbreaks, but the necessary countermeasures are in place. So, we can reasonably expect the virus to remain under control. Despite the medical setbacks, millions of jobs have returned, along with consumer confidence and spending. The recovery remains on track and is likely to continue. And that's exactly what the markets are expecting. But will there be volatility ahead? Watch this video to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for July 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for June. It was a great month for the markets. In part, markets were reacting to progress on the viral front, with drops in the daily case growth rate and increased testing. They were also responding to the continued economic recovery. Millions of jobs returned, and consumer confidence bounced back. Of course, there were setbacks, with some states seeing an uptick in virus cases. Will the recovery remain on track despite the risks? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for June 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for May. Last month, we saw real progress in the coronavirus, which allowed the economy to begin reopening. Hundreds of thousands returned to work, people began to shop again, and confidence started to stabilize. In turn, U.S. markets rose to just above their long-term trend line and are now fully expecting a V-shaped recovery. But how will markets react if a second wave of infections occurs or spending doesn’t return to normal levels? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for May 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for April. In the U.S., markets were up by double digits. Still, the economic damage continued. Millions of jobs were lost, and businesses shut down. But we did see progress. The spread of the virus slowed, and testing increased. Plus, federal stimulus provided funds to individuals and businesses. The markets noted these improvements, bouncing back in April. In fact, the markets expect a full recovery in about a year. Are they right? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/
Market Thoughts for April 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for March. It was a terrible month for the financial markets, with the coronavirus driving the volatility. In the U.S., markets were down by double digits. Further, the economic damage began to emerge, with three million jobs lost in a week. In response, the government quickly stepped in with a $2 trillion stimulus package. The markets took comfort in these measures, showing a slight bounce at month-end. What should we expect in April? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for March 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for February. Both U.S. and international markets dropped sharply at month-end, as the coronavirus continued to spread across the globe. While the declines are worrisome, previous outbreaks, like Zika and SARS, have resulted in similar outcomes. As such, the markets’ response to the coronavirus can actually be considered normal. But what happens next? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
What Keeps AAM 40 Years Strong
AAM CEO & CIO Scott Colyer, reflects on 40 years in the financial industry and how Advisors Asset Management has evolved as a leader in empowering financial advisors to succeed. “We started as an advisor-centric firm back in 1979, and are still an advisor-centric firm 40 years later.”
Market Thoughts for February 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for January. The year started with a slight setback, with both U.S. and international markets down. Some of this poor performance was driven by fear over the coronavirus. Although the virus is something to watch, it's not likely to be a long-term risk. Indeed, economic growth in the U.S. has been steady, and business and consumer confidence have improved. Will the fundamentals continue to provide a cushion for any risks on the horizon? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for January 2020
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for December. It was a great close to 2019, with U.S. markets up more than 20 percent and international markets showing double-digit gains. Job growth was strong, and, for the ninth month in a row, income and spending went up. New home sales were at their highest level since 2007, and home builder confidence was the strongest in 20 years. But risks exist, including politics and the trade war. How greatly will they rattle the markets? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
2020 Outlook
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, provides his 2020 market outlook. After a strong 2019, worries are starting to build for the year ahead—especially over a potential recession. But the data is actually improving. As such, 2020 may look much like 2019. Job growth might slow, but consumers are likely to keep spending. Plus, business investment is showing signs of a comeback, which would be a significant tailwind. The news for the markets may not be as positive, as we may see some volatility. But as long as the economy keeps growing? The markets should continue to move forward.
Market Thoughts for December 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for November. It was another great month for U.S. markets, although international markets didn’t fare as well. Still, the news was positive given the worrying headlines on the Hong Kong riots and the ongoing trade dispute. Here in the U.S., consumer confidence remained at a strong level, and business confidence bounced back. Plus, job growth beat expectations, and new home sales were up. What should we expect as we head into year-end? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for November 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for October. It was a great month, with U.S. markets doing well and international markets doing even better. This positive news was surprising, given the impeachment inquiry, weak job growth, and declining business confidence. Still, major sectors of the economy remain strong. Consumers continue to earn and spend more. Plus, the Fed has gotten behind the markets with rate cuts at its last two meetings. But is there volatility ahead? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for October 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for September. It was a pretty good month, with U.S., international, and emerging markets all up. These results were surprising given the month’s events, including a drone strike on a Saudi oil complex and the impeachment inquiry of President Trump. Still, the fundamentals remained solid. New and existing home sales went up. We also saw strong personal income growth, leading to strong retail sales growth. But are there headwinds ahead? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for September 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for August. It was a tough month for markets, with fixed income the only bright spot. There was a lot of volatility, with markets down between 4 percent and 6 percent on three occasions. What drove the declines? Politics. The U.S.-China trade war heated up, and the Fed and the White House sparred over rates. Still, the economy remained solid—with consumer confidence high and strong job growth. So, will there be more volatility ahead? Stay tuned to learn more. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for August 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for July. It was a mixed month. U.S. markets rose and fixed income went up, but emerging markets pulled back. In the U.S., second-quarter growth beat expectations, buoyed by the consumer. People were willing and able to spend, a trend that is likely to continue. Earnings also went up, another positive surprise. Still, risks remain, including the threat of Brexit under Prime Minister Boris Johnson. What should we expect for August? Stay tuned to learn more. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
2019 Midyear Update
Commonwealth CIO Brad McMillan provides his 2019 midyear market outlook. Growth has been solid this year. Consumers remain confident, and business continues to hire and invest. Indeed, markets have responded to these positive conditions, as they are once again close to new highs. If the economy continues to grow and the fundamentals remain solid, which is likely, we should continue to see more progress in the markets. But will the risks, including the trade war and the debt ceiling, come into play? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at http://blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.2019 Midyear Update
Market Thoughts for July 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for June. It was a great month for markets around the world, capping off a strong second quarter. With so many worries about slowing growth, earnings, geopolitics, and trade, why are we seeing such strength? The Fed’s more dovish comments at the June meeting had a lot to do with pushing markets up. Plus, the economic data—from retail sales to housing—is solid. Things are actually pretty good. What does this mean for the rest of 2019? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Market Thoughts for June 2019
Brad McMillan, Commonwealth’s CIO, recaps the market and economic news for May. It was a tough month, with U.S. and international markets down. At the same time, May’s decline could be considered modest, and it was not based on fundamentals. Instead, it was all about confidence, which was rattled by a reignited trade war with China and proposed tariffs on Mexico. Still, there was some good news. Consumer spending picked back up, and job growth remained strong. Where does this leave us as we start June? Stay tuned to find out. Follow Brad at blog.commonwealth.com/independent-market-observer.
Nasdaq President & CEO: Rethink Nasdaq - We are a Global Technology Company
Nasdaq President & CEO Adena Friedman talks candidly with Envestnet Head of Asset Manager Distribution about the future of financial advising, adding value for clients, work/life balance, and why Nasdaq isn’t just an exchange but a global technology company.